Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 23, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Como
0 - 2
Inter Milan

Espeto (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

de Vrij (20'), Correa (51')
Calhanoglu (12'), Zalewski (43'), de Vrij (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Como and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Como

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Como
Sunday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-2 Lazio
Sunday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Como had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Como	Draw	Inter Milan
31.09% ( 0.11)	25.53% ( 0.04)	43.38% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 54.48% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.73% (

-0.13)

49.27% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.67% (

-0.12)

71.32% (

0.12)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.42% (

0.01)

29.58% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.39% (

0.01)

65.61% (

-0.01)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.37% (

-0.13)

22.63% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.74% (

-0.19)

56.26% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Como 31.09%

Inter Milan 43.38%

Draw 25.52%

Como	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.09%	1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.52%	0-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 43.38%