Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Como |
| 29.87% ( | 26.54% ( | 43.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.12% ( | 53.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.66% ( | 75.34% ( |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.2% ( | 32.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.64% ( | 69.35% ( |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.45% ( | 24.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.97% ( | 59.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Como |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 7.03% ( 2-0 @ 5% 3-1 @ 2.61% 3-0 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.56% Total : 29.87% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.53% | 0-1 @ 11.3% 1-2 @ 8.85% ( 0-2 @ 7.94% ( 1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0-3 @ 3.72% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.46% 0-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.55% Total : 43.58% |