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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 19, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
0 - 3
Como

Krstovic (7')
Coulibaly (21'), Krstovic (45+4'), Berisha (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Diao (33', 90+1'), Goldaniga (84')
Valle (42'), Ikone (45+4'), Goldaniga (55'), Perrone (73'), Engelhardt (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 2-1 Lecce
Saturday, April 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 1-0 Torino
Sunday, April 13 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawComo
29.87% (0.0010000000000012 0)26.54% (0.0020000000000024 0)43.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 50.71% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.12% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)53.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.66% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)75.34% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.2% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)32.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.64% (0.0010000000000012 0)69.35% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.54% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)59.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 29.87%
    Como 43.58%
    Draw 26.53%
LecceDrawComo
1-0 @ 8.97%
2-1 @ 7.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5%
3-1 @ 2.61%
3-0 @ 1.86%
3-2 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 29.87%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.94%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 11.3%
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 4.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.72%
2-3 @ 2.31%
1-4 @ 1.46%
0-4 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 43.58%

How you voted: Lecce vs Como

Lecce
45.9%
Draw
21.6%
Como
32.4%
37
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Como
2-0
Lecce
Paz (49'), Cutrone (79')
Van Der Brempt (24'), Goldaniga (66'), Engelhardt (76')

Coulibaly (56'), Pierotti (66')
Aug 13, 2023 8pm
First Round
Lecce
1-0
Como
Almqvist (27')
Baschirotto (2'), Chinazaekpere Dorgu (86')

Cassandro (19'), Abildgaard (23')
Feb 5, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 21
Como
1-1
Lecce
Cerri (4' pen.)
Ioannou (72')
Listkowski (13')
Calabresi (2'), Hjulmand (24'), Gallo (75')
Aug 29, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Lecce
1-1
Como
Coda (40' pen.)
Johann Helgason (5'), Di Mariano (70')
Cerri (42')
Scaglia (39'), Ioannou (55')