We said: Juventus 3-0 Lecce
There have been distinct signs of improvement from Juventus since Thiago Motta was shown the door, with a more direct style getting more out of several underperforming players.
With home advantage on their side, too, Juve can take care of business against a limited Lecce side, keeping them in the hunt for a Champions League return.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 62.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 15.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
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