Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Mar 29, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
0 - 1
Roma

Karlsson (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dovbyk (80')
Baldanzi (75'), Saelemaekers (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Genoa 2-1 Lecce
Friday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Cagliari
Sunday, March 16 at 3pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 54.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 20.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Roma
20.88% ( -0.01)	25.06%	54.05% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 46.91% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.2% (

-0.01)

54.79% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.9% (

-0.01)

76.1% (

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.82% (

-0.01)

41.17% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.29% (

-0.01)

77.71% (

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.74%

20.26% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.4% (

52.6% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Lecce 20.88%

Roma 54.04%

Draw 25.06%

Lecce	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 7.4% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.24% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.28% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.55% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.2% Total : 20.88%	1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 13.31% 0-2 @ 10.63% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-3 @ 5.66% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.02% 0-4 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 2% Other @ 3.5% Total : 54.04%