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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Mar 29, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Roma logo

Lecce
0 - 1
Roma


Karlsson (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dovbyk (80')
Baldanzi (75'), Saelemaekers (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 2-1 Lecce
Friday, March 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Cagliari
Sunday, March 16 at 3pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 54.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 20.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
LecceDrawRoma
20.88% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)25.06%54.05% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.91% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.2% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)54.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.9% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)76.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)41.17% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)77.71% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74%20.26% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.4% (0.0010000000000048 0)52.6% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 20.88%
    Roma 54.04%
    Draw 25.06%
LecceDrawRoma
1-0 @ 7.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 5.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 3.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 20.88%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 8.34% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 13.31%
0-2 @ 10.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.43%
0-3 @ 5.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 5.02%
0-4 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 2%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 54.04%

How you voted: Lecce vs Roma

Lecce
17.5%
Draw
0.0%
Roma
82.5%
80
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Roma
4-1
Lecce
Saelemaekers (13'), Mancini (59'), Pisilli (66'), Kone (86')
Saelemaekers (12'), Kone (87')
Krstovic (40' pen.)
Krstovic (69'), Kaba (72'), Oudin (78')
Apr 1, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 30
Lecce
0-0
Roma
Piccoli (38'), Baschirotto (45'), Ramadani (81')
N'Dicka (11'), Cristante (84')
Nov 5, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 11
Roma
2-1
Lecce
Azmoun (90+1'), Lukaku (90+4')
Sanches (76'), Llorente (89'), Lukaku (90+6')
Almqvist (72')
Banda (17'), Dorgu (27'), Ramadani (77'), Touba (81'), Espeto (87')
Feb 11, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 22
Lecce
1-1
Roma
Ibanez (7' og.)
Dybala (17' pen.)
Oct 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Roma
2-1
Lecce
Smalling (6'), Dybala (48' pen.)
Espeto (39')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli382410459273282
2Inter Milan38249579354481
3Atalanta BCAtalanta38228878374174
4Juventus381816458352370
5Roma38209956352169
6Fiorentina381981160411965
7Lazio381811961491265
8AC Milan381891161431863
9Bologna381614857471062
10Como381310154952-349
11Torino381014143945-644
12Udinese38128184156-1544
13Genoa381013153749-1243
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38107213466-3237
15CagliariCagliari3899204056-1636
16Parma38715164458-1436
17Lecce38810202758-3134
18Empoli38613193359-2631
19VeneziaVenezia38514193256-2429
RMonza3839262869-4118


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