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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Feb 24, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Monza

Roma
4 - 0
Monza

Saelemaekers (10'), Shomurodov (32'), Angelino (73'), Cristante (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bianco (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Roma and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 3-2 Porto
Thursday, February 20 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Monza 0-0 Lecce
Sunday, February 16 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-0 Monza

On a high from recent feats in Europe and Serie A, only complacency could stop Roma making it 10 league games without losing. The hosts should surely avoid that fate against lowly Monza, who are short of confidence at both ends of the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 10.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.13%) and 3-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawMonza
70.8% (3.03 3.03) 18.63% (-0.9 -0.9) 10.56% (-2.125 -2.13)
Both teams to score 42.8% (-3.924 -3.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44% (-1.501 -1.5)47.55% (1.507 1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.24% (-1.404 -1.4)69.76% (1.409 1.41)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.83% (0.41800000000001 0.42)12.17% (-0.412 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.2% (0.866 0.87)37.8% (-0.86 -0.86)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.74% (-4.718 -4.72)51.26% (4.725 4.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.48% (-3.376 -3.38)85.51% (3.382 3.38)
Score Analysis
    Roma 70.79%
    Monza 10.56%
    Draw 18.63%
RomaDrawMonza
2-0 @ 13.83% (1.25 1.25)
1-0 @ 13.13% (1 1)
3-0 @ 9.72% (1.022 1.02)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.376 -0.38)
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-0 @ 5.12% (0.611 0.61)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.374 -0.37)
5-0 @ 2.16% (0.287 0.29)
5-1 @ 1.44% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 70.79%
1-1 @ 8.78% (-0.504 -0.5)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.383 0.38)
2-2 @ 3.09% (-0.591 -0.59)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 18.63%
0-1 @ 4.17% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-2 @ 2.93% (-0.617 -0.62)
0-2 @ 1.39% (-0.32 -0.32)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 10.56%

How you voted: Roma vs Monza

Roma
88.7%
Draw
6.0%
Monza
5.3%
133
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 7
Monza
1-1
Roma
Mota (70')
Kiriakopoulos (60'), Djuric (90+2'), D'Ambrosio (90+3')
Dovbyk (61')
Soule (26')
Mar 2, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 27
Monza
1-4
Roma
Carboni (87')
Bondo (62')
Pellegrini (38'), Lukaku (42'), Dybala (63'), Paredes (82' pen.)
Kristensen (25'), Angelino (48'), Svilar (58'), Cristante (84')
Oct 22, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 9
Roma
1-0
Monza
El Shaarawy (90')
Cristante (70'), Mancini (78')
Mourinho (90+11')

D'Ambrosio (23'), Pepin (45+1'), Pepin (45+2'), Palladino (87'), Gagliardini (90+7')
D'Ambrosio (41')
May 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Monza
1-1
Roma
Caldirola (39')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Roma
3-0
Monza
Dybala (18', 32'), Ibanez (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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