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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Feb 24, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Monza

Roma
4 - 0
Monza

Saelemaekers (10'), Shomurodov (32'), Angelino (73'), Cristante (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bianco (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Roma and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 3-2 Porto
Thursday, February 20 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Monza 0-0 Lecce
Sunday, February 16 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 10.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.13%) and 3-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawMonza
70.8% (3.03 3.03)18.63% (-0.9 -0.9)10.56% (-2.125 -2.13)
Both teams to score 42.8% (-3.924 -3.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44% (-1.501 -1.5)47.55% (1.507 1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.24% (-1.404 -1.4)69.76% (1.409 1.41)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.83% (0.41800000000001 0.42)12.17% (-0.412 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.2% (0.866 0.87)37.8% (-0.86 -0.86)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.74% (-4.718 -4.72)51.26% (4.725 4.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.48% (-3.376 -3.38)85.51% (3.382 3.38)
Score Analysis
    Roma 70.79%
    Monza 10.56%
    Draw 18.63%
RomaDrawMonza
2-0 @ 13.83% (1.25 1.25)
1-0 @ 13.13% (1 1)
3-0 @ 9.72% (1.022 1.02)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.376 -0.38)
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-0 @ 5.12% (0.611 0.61)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.374 -0.37)
5-0 @ 2.16% (0.287 0.29)
5-1 @ 1.44% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 70.79%
1-1 @ 8.78% (-0.504 -0.5)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.383 0.38)
2-2 @ 3.09% (-0.591 -0.59)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 18.63%
0-1 @ 4.17% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-2 @ 2.93% (-0.617 -0.62)
0-2 @ 1.39% (-0.32 -0.32)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 10.56%

How you voted: Roma vs Monza

Roma
88.7%
Draw
6.0%
Monza
5.3%
133
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 7
Monza
1-1
Roma
Mota (70')
Kiriakopoulos (60'), Djuric (90+2'), D'Ambrosio (90+3')
Dovbyk (61')
Soule (26')
Mar 2, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 27
Monza
1-4
Roma
Carboni (87')
Bondo (62')
Pellegrini (38'), Lukaku (42'), Dybala (63'), Paredes (82' pen.)
Kristensen (25'), Angelino (48'), Svilar (58'), Cristante (84')
Oct 22, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 9
Roma
1-0
Monza
El Shaarawy (90')
Cristante (70'), Mancini (78')
Mourinho (90+11')

D'Ambrosio (23'), Pepin (45+1'), Pepin (45+2'), Palladino (87'), Gagliardini (90+7')
D'Ambrosio (41')
May 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Monza
1-1
Roma
Caldirola (39')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Roma
3-0
Monza
Dybala (18', 32'), Ibanez (61')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli382410459273282
2Inter Milan38249579354481
3Atalanta BCAtalanta38228878374174
4Juventus381816458352370
5Roma38209956352169
6Fiorentina381981160411965
7Lazio381811961491265
8AC Milan381891161431863
9Bologna381614857471062
10Como381310154952-349
11Torino381014143945-644
12Udinese38128184156-1544
13Genoa381013153749-1243
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38107213466-3237
15CagliariCagliari3899204056-1636
16Parma38715164458-1436
17Lecce38810202758-3134
18Empoli38613193359-2631
19VeneziaVenezia38514193256-2429
RMonza3839262869-4118


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