Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Roma |
29.86% (![]() | 26.91% (![]() | 43.23% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.6% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.69% (![]() | 55.31% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.47% (![]() | 76.53% (![]() |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.45% (![]() | 33.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.81% (![]() | 70.19% (![]() |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.63% (![]() | 25.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.84% (![]() | 60.16% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 9.29% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.96% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.74% ( ![]() Other @ 2.41% Total : 29.86% | 1-1 @ 12.75% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.51% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.78% ( ![]() Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 11.67% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.75% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.01% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 2.33% Total : 43.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |