Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 68.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 11.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.15%) and 3-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Hellas Verona |
68.9% (![]() | 19.9% (![]() | 11.19% (![]() |
Both teams to score 41.13% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.9% (![]() | 51.09% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.05% (![]() | 72.95% (![]() |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.21% (![]() | 13.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.9% (![]() | 41.1% (![]() |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.71% (![]() | 52.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.8% (![]() | 86.19% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Hellas Verona |
1-0 @ 14.28% (![]() 2-0 @ 14.15% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 9.35% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.06% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.63% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.28% Total : 68.9% | 1-1 @ 9.26% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.21% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.97% ( ![]() Other @ 0.46% Total : 19.9% | 0-1 @ 4.67% (![]() 1-2 @ 3% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 2% Total : 11.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 31 | 41 | 71 |
2 | Napoli | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 71 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 61 |
4 | Juventus | 32 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 59 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 57 |
6 | Bologna | 32 | 15 | 12 | 5 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 56 |
8 | Fiorentina | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 53 |
9 | AC Milan | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 40 |
11 | Udinese | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 40 |
12 | Como | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Genoa | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 39 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 32 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 30 |
16 | Parma | 32 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 28 |
17 | Lecce | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 26 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 24 |
19 | Empoli | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 24 |
20 | Monza | 33 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |