Barcelona4 - 1Chelsea
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, March 27 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Sunday, March 30 at 4.30pm in Women's Super League
for
We said: Barcelona Women 2-1 Chelsea Women
Barcelona have won each of their four UWCL home games this season, and while they will face a tough test in the first leg against Chelsea, we believe that the hosts will make full use of home advantage to take a narrow lead to Stamford Bridge. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 15.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Chelsea Women win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
67.11% ( 1.39) | 17.49% ( -0.43) | 15.39% ( -0.96) |
| Both teams to score 61.96% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
