Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 19, 2025 at 8pm UK
Moi Stadium
Man City2 - 0Chelsea
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Man City
Wednesday, March 5 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Wednesday, March 5 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Goals
for
for
37
Last Game: Chelsea 3-1 Leicester
Wednesday, March 5 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Wednesday, March 5 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Goals
for
for
45
We said: Manchester City Women 1-1 Chelsea Women
Man City will be desperate to make full use of home advantage ahead of next week's return leg, but we think that their 100% European home record will come to an end with a draw against a Chelsea side that are yet to lose since Bompastor took over the reins last summer. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
37.85% ( 0.18) | 25.01% | 37.14% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.74% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
