We can envisage Roma earning a narrow victory against Verona on Monday, with Mourinho's men likely to be a little fatigued after their exploits in Finland on Thursday.
Verona have scored in each of their last five defeats so it would be little surprise to see them do so once again here, but the visitors should have too much in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 19.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
0.42) 
-0.61) 
