Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-2 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roma in this match.
