Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Napoli in this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Roma | 
| 45.9% | 24.25% | 29.86% | 
| Both teams to score 58.14% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55.82% | 44.18% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 33.44% | 66.56% | 
| Napoli Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.6% | 19.4% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.79% | 51.21% | 
| Roma Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.14% | 27.86% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.53% | 63.47% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Napoli | Draw | Roma | 
| 2-1 @ 9.29% 1-0 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 7.27% 3-1 @ 5.08% 3-0 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.14% Total : 45.9% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 7.24% 0-1 @ 6.91% 0-2 @ 4.41% 1-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.86% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 
| 2 | AC Milan | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 26 | 
| 3 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 24 | 
| 4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 
| 5 | Roma | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 
| 6 | Udinese | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 | 
| 7 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 21 | 
| 8 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 
| 9 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 14 | 
| 10 | Salernitana | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 | 
| 11 | SassuoloSassuolo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 
| 12 | Empoli | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 11 | 
| 13 | Bologna | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 10 | 
| 14 | Fiorentina | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 | 
| 15 | Monza | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 10 | 
| 16 | SpeziaSpezia | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 9 | 
| 17 | Lecce | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 8 | 
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 5 | 
| 19 | Cremonese | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 4 | 
| 20 | Sampdoria | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 3 | 
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