Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for had a probability of 11.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a win it was 0-1 (3.81%).
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Lecce |
| 70.8% | 17.91% | 11.29% |
| Both teams to score 47.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.63% | 42.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.22% | 64.77% |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.29% | 10.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.36% | 34.64% |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.43% | 46.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.84% | 82.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Lecce |
| 2-0 @ 12.44% 1-0 @ 11.14% 2-1 @ 9.51% 3-0 @ 9.27% 3-1 @ 7.08% 4-0 @ 5.18% 4-1 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 2.71% 5-0 @ 2.31% 5-1 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.91% Total : 70.79% | 1-1 @ 8.52% 0-0 @ 4.99% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.77% Total : 17.91% | 0-1 @ 3.81% 1-2 @ 3.25% 0-2 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.84% Total : 11.29% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 15 | 36 | 56 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 41 |
| 4 | Roma | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 41 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 41 |
| 6 | Lazio | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 39 |
| 7 | Torino | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 30 |
| 8 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 29 |
| 9 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 29 |
| 10 | Empoli | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 27 |
| 11 | Juventus | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 26 |
| 12 | Monza | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 26 |
| 13 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
| 14 | Fiorentina | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 24 |
| 15 | SassuoloSassuolo | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 23 |
| 16 | Salernitana | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 19 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 36 | -26 | 10 |
| 20 | Cremonese | 21 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
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