Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 59.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for had a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.57%) and 1-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a win it was 1-2 (5.36%).
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Bologna |
| 59.3% | 20.63% | 20.07% |
| Both teams to score 59.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.05% | 36.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.87% | 59.14% |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.8% | 12.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.12% | 37.88% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.24% | 31.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.82% | 68.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Bologna |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% 2-0 @ 8.57% 1-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 6.9% 3-0 @ 6.01% 3-2 @ 3.96% 4-1 @ 3.63% 4-0 @ 3.16% 4-2 @ 2.08% 5-1 @ 1.53% 5-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 4.15% Total : 59.3% | 1-1 @ 9.35% 2-2 @ 5.64% 0-0 @ 3.88% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.63% | 1-2 @ 5.36% 0-1 @ 4.45% 0-2 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 2.16% 1-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.53% Total : 20.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 13 | 24 | 41 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 36 |
| 3 | Juventus | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 7 | 18 | 34 |
| 4 | Inter Milan | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 33 |
| 5 | Lazio | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 30 |
| 6 | Roma | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 30 |
| 7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 28 |
| 8 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 25 |
| 9 | Torino | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 22 |
| 10 | Fiorentina | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 | Bologna | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 19 |
| 12 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Salernitana | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 17 |
| 15 | Monza | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
| 16 | SassuoloSassuolo | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 28 | -20 | 9 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 16 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 7 |
| 20 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 6 |
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