Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
