MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:20:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 20, 2025 at 6.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Leverkusen logo

St Pauli
1 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Boukhalfa (78')
Smith (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Schick (32')
Hincapie (63'), Frimpong (64'), Hradecky (64'), Tella (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-2 St Pauli
Saturday, April 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: St Pauli 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen

The impact of Wirtz's likely return to the starting XI should not be underestimated, and he may help to significantly bolster the visitors' attack. Though St Pauli have found positive results easier to come by of late, their home record is not particularly strong, and they could suffer a defeat at the hands of the champions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
St PauliDrawBayer Leverkusen
25.36% (0.325 0.33) 25.26% (0.157 0.16) 49.38% (-0.479 -0.48)
Both teams to score 51.4% (-0.162 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.55% (-0.366 -0.37)51.45% (0.369 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.74% (-0.319 -0.32)73.26% (0.32199999999999 0.32)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.93% (0.079000000000008 0.08)35.07% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.19% (0.086000000000002 0.09)71.81% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15% (-0.34699999999999 -0.35)20.85% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.46% (-0.549 -0.55)53.54% (0.553 0.55)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 25.36%
    Bayer Leverkusen 49.38%
    Draw 25.26%
St PauliDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 7.66% (0.128 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.29% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.01% (0.075 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.2% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.72%
3-0 @ 1.4% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 25.36%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.31% (0.108 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 11.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.99% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.92% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.7% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.84% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 49.38%

How you voted: St Pauli vs B. Leverkusen

St Pauli
9.8%
Draw
7.8%
Bayer Leverkusen
82.4%
51
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
B. Leverkusen
2-1
St Pauli
Wirtz (6'), Tah (21')
Hincapie (28')
Guilavogui (84')
Guilavogui (37'), Saliakas (75'), Dzwigala (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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