Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 20, 2025 at 6.30pm UK

Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
1 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Boukhalfa (78')
Smith (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Schick (32')
Hincapie (63'), Frimpong (64'), Hradecky (64'), Tella (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-2 St Pauli
Saturday, April 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, April 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
25.36% ( 0.33)	25.26% ( 0.16)	49.38% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 51.4% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.55% (

-0.37)

51.45% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.74% (

-0.32)

73.26% (

0.32)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.93% (

0.08)

35.07% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.19% (

0.09)

71.81% (

-0.08)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.15% (

-0.35)

20.85% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.46% (

-0.55)

53.54% (

0.55)

Score Analysis

St Pauli 25.36%

Bayer Leverkusen 49.38%

Draw 25.26%

St Pauli	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.72% 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.07% Total : 25.36%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 49.38%

How you voted: St Pauli vs B. Leverkusen

St Pauli

9.8%

Draw

7.8%

Bayer Leverkusen

82.4%

Head to Head

Dec 7, 2024 2.30pm

Gameweek 13

B. Leverkusen

2-1

St Pauli

Wirtz (6'), Tah (21')
Hincapie (28')

Guilavogui (84')
Guilavogui (37'), Saliakas (75'), Dzwigala (90+3')

> Preview

Form Guide

Holstein Kiel 1-2 St Pauli

St Pauli 1-1 Borussia M'bach

Bayern 3-2 St Pauli

St Pauli 1-0 Hoffenheim

Wolfsburg 1-1 St Pauli

St Pauli 0-2 Dortmund

B. Leverkusen 0-0 Union Berlin

Heidenheim 0-1 B. Leverkusen

Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 B. Leverkusen

B. Leverkusen 3-1 VfL Bochum

Stuttgart 3-4 B. Leverkusen

B. Leverkusen 0-2 Bayern

Nations League

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

Jordan

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Bayern Munich Bayern	34	25	7	2	99	32	67	82
2	Bayer Leverkusen B. Leverkusen	34	19	12	3	72	43	29	69
3	Eintracht Frankfurt Frankfurt	34	17	9	8	68	46	22	60
4	Borussia Dortmund Dortmund	34	17	6	11	71	51	20	57
5	Freiburg	34	16	7	11	49	53	-4	55
6	Mainz 05 Mainz	34	14	10	10	55	43	12	52
7	RB Leipzig	34	13	12	9	53	48	5	51
8	Werder Bremen	34	14	9	11	54	57	-3	51
9	Stuttgart	34	14	8	12	64	53	11	50
10	Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia M'bach	34	13	6	15	55	57	-2	45
11	Wolfsburg	34	11	10	13	56	54	2	43
12	Augsburg	34	11	10	13	35	51	-16	43
13	Union Berlin Union Berlin	34	10	10	14	35	51	-16	40
14	St Pauli	34	8	8	18	28	41	-13	32
15	Hoffenheim	34	7	11	16	46	68	-22	32
16	Heidenheim	34	8	5	21	37	64	-27	29
R	Holstein Kiel	34	6	7	21	49	80	-31	25
R	VfL Bochum VfL Bochum	34	6	7	21	33	67	-34	25
					> Bundesliga Full Table