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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 28, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
BayArena
VfL Bochum

B. Leverkusen
3 - 1
VfL Bochum

Garcia (20'), Boniface (60'), Adli (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Passlack (26')
Boadu (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-3 Frankfurt
Sunday, March 16 at 3.20pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 VfL Bochum

Leverkusen will be incentivised by the opportunity to pile pressure on Bayern, but they are unlikely to find Friday's clash straightforward with so many forwards missing. Additionally, the visitors have proven capable of beating the Bundesliga's elite, though they may ultimately lose given their poor record on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 71.47%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 12.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 3-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawVfL Bochum
71.47% (0.019000000000005 0.02) 16.05% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 12.47% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.14% (0.024000000000001 0.02)29.86% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.98% (0.030000000000001 0.03)51.03% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)7.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.41% (0.025000000000006 0.03)26.59% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.21% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27% (0.0030000000000001 0)73% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 71.47%
    VfL Bochum 12.47%
    Draw 16.05%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawVfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.08% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-1 @ 8.01% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.96% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 5.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 4.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 2.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 2.65% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-2 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
6-1 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
6-0 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 71.47%
1-1 @ 7.07% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 2.67% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 16.05%
1-2 @ 3.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 2.71% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.59%
0-2 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 12.47%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs VfL Bochum

Bayer Leverkusen
87.7%
Draw
8.8%
VfL Bochum
3.5%
114
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 2.30pm
May 12, 2024 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
VfL Bochum
0-5
B. Leverkusen

Schlotterbeck (45+1'), Ordets (63')
Passlack (15')
Schick (41'), Boniface (45+2' pen.), Adli (76'), Stanisic (86'), Grimaldo (90+3')
Tella (27')
Dec 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
B. Leverkusen
4-0
VfL Bochum
Schick (30' pen., 32', 45+1'), Okoh Boniface (69')

Masovic (39'), Schlotterbeck (50')
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
VfL Bochum
3-0
B. Leverkusen
Forster (19'), Asano (34'), Stoger (86')
Stoger (21'), Forster (28'), Hofmann (72'), Osterhage (84'), Zoller (89')

Tapsoba (63'), Wirtz (67'), Alonso (68'), Bakker (69'), Diaby (71'), Palacios (89')
Adli (8')
Jan 25, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
B. Leverkusen
2-0
VfL Bochum
Tapsoba (8' pen.), Hlozek (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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