

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.45%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 22.6% ( | 21.95% ( | 55.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.2% ( | 39.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.84% ( | 62.16% ( |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% ( | 31.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.6% ( | 67.4% ( |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.71% ( | 14.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.91% ( | 42.09% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 5.9% ( 1-0 @ 5.19% ( 2-0 @ 3.03% ( 3-1 @ 2.3% ( 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 3-0 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 22.6% | 1-1 @ 10.09% ( 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 3-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0-2 @ 8.41% ( 1-3 @ 6.37% ( 0-3 @ 5.45% ( 2-3 @ 3.72% ( 1-4 @ 3.1% ( 0-4 @ 2.65% ( 2-4 @ 1.81% ( 1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0-5 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 3.23% Total : 55.45% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 75 | 24 | 51 | 62 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 59 | 33 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 45 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 42 |
| 6 | Freiburg | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 42 |
| 7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 40 |
| 8 | Wolfsburg | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Stuttgart | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 35 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 33 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 26 |
| 15 | St Pauli | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 25 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 19 |
| 17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 53 | -27 | 18 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 17 |
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