MX23RW : Monday, April 28 17:58:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Excelsior
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 32
Mar 28, 2025 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
3 - 0
Jong Utrecht

Sanches Fernandes (41'), Duijvestijn (47', 74')
Hatenboer (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Jong FC Utrecht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Eindhoven 1-2 Excelsior
Friday, March 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Emmen 2-0 Jong Utrecht
Friday, March 14 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 84.11%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 5.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 4-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.97%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (1.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for SBV Excelsior in this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawJong FC Utrecht
84.11% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05) 10.61% (0.029999999999999 0.03) 5.28% (0.018 0.02)
Both teams to score 46.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.88% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)28.12% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.11% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)48.89% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.26% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)4.74% (0.018 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.81% (-0.053999999999988 -0.05)19.19% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Jong FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.14% (0.018000000000001 0.02)50.86% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.75% (0.013 0.01)85.24% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 84.1%
    Jong FC Utrecht 5.28%
    Draw 10.61%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawJong FC Utrecht
3-0 @ 11.39%
2-0 @ 11.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 8.68% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.011 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.35% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 5.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-0 @ 5.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 3.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 2.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-1 @ 1.82% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
7-0 @ 1.17% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 84.1%
1-1 @ 4.97% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.56% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 10.61%
1-2 @ 1.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 1.63% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 5.28%

Head to Head
Nov 26, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 15
Jong Utrecht
0-0
Excelsior
van Hees (42'), Dundas (87')
Hartjes (32'), Raatsie (45+1'), Fini (46')
Feb 21, 2022 7pm
Nov 26, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 17
Excelsior
2-1
Jong Utrecht
Dallinga (48'), Azarkan (81')
Maddy (19')
Maddy (28')
Mar 12, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 28
Excelsior
2-0
Jong Utrecht
Zwarts (11'), Niemeijer (53')
Baas (50')
Dec 11, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 16
Jong Utrecht
3-2
Excelsior
Velanas (23'), Hilterman (40'), Acheffay (49')
Lonwijk (26'), Huizing (35')
Aberkane (82'), Mar Omarsson (90+2' pen.)
Wieffer (57'), Horemans (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC VolendamVolendam35244780404076
2SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior36218768363271
3ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag361910759411867
4Dordrecht36198965442165
5Cambuur362051158391965
6De GraafschapDe Graafschap351781066452159
7TelstarTelstar3616101065452058
8EmmenEmmen36165155449553
9Den BoschDen Bosch35149125145651
10Roda JC361310134753-649
11Helmond SportHelmond351210135255-346
12Jong AZJong AZ35129146360345
13FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven35129145360-745
14VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo35108173859-2138
15MVV MaastrichtMVV36910175158-737
16TOP OssOss36812162959-3036
17Jong AjaxJong Ajax3588193651-1532
18Jong PSVJong PSV3576225278-2627
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht35311212776-4920
20Vitesse361010164970-211


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!