Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for SBV Excelsior in this match.