We say: Coventry City 2-0 Sunderland
In red-hot form at the CBS Arena, Coventry will fancy their chances of earning a considerable first-leg advantage over a stuttering Sunderland on Friday night.
The Black Cats need to turn on the style to avoid a swift exit from the playoffs, and we feel that they will struggle in the East Midlands.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Coventry City win with a probability of 46%. A win for Sunderland has a probability of 29.29% and a draw has a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Sunderland win is 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.65%).