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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Sunderland

Oxford Utd
2 - 0
Sunderland

Nelson (29'), Helik (48')
Goodrham (14'), Rodrigues (28'), Vaulks (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mepham (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Oxford Utd
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Blackburn
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Sunderland

Sunderland may be experiencing a poor run of form, but they tend to fare well in meetings with Oxford, having won five of their previous six head-to-head matches. With that in mind, we think that the Black Cats will squeeze past the U's to bring an end to their four-game winless run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawSunderland
25.96% (0.055 0.05) 25.72% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 48.32% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.53% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.16% (0.104 0.1)52.84% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.54% (0.088999999999999 0.09)74.46% (-0.080000000000013 -0.08)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68% (0.102 0.1)35.32% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92% (0.107 0.11)72.08% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (0.030000000000001 0.03)21.88% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.87% (0.038999999999994 0.04)55.13% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 25.96%
    Sunderland 48.32%
    Draw 25.72%
Oxford UnitedDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 8.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.36% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.21% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.68% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 25.96%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 7.73% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 11.74% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 8.92% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.7% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 4.52% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 48.32%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Sunderland

Oxford United
33.3%
Draw
30.6%
Sunderland
36.1%
36
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Sunderland
2-0
Oxford Utd
Bellingham (16'), Isidor (63')
Mepham (23'), Isidor (37')

Scarlett (51'), Sibley (77')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Oxford Utd
1-2
Sunderland
Moore (35')
Evans (16'), Embleton (89')
Matete (73'), Cirkin (81')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Sunderland
1-1
Oxford Utd
Dajaku (7')
Wright (13'), Neill (40')
Taylor (36')
Brannagan (5'), Taylor (13')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Sunderland
3-1
Oxford Utd
Gooch (45+2'), McGeady (81'), Power (90+4')
McLaughlin (19'), Stewart (89'), Power (90+5')
Henry (21')
Sykes (25'), Barker (25'), Henry (54'), Moore (81')
Sykes (61')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Oxford Utd
0-2
Sunderland

Kelly (41')
O'Nien (47'), Gooch (82')
Power (24')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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