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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
The Hawthorns
Sunderland

West Brom
0 - 1
Sunderland


Molumby (65'), Styles (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hume (35')
Browne (59'), Roberts (60'), Mayenda (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 1-0 West Brom
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Sunderland

With a top-six finish essentially secured, Sunderland could take their foot off the gas as they face playoff hopefuls West Brom this weekend. The Baggies will be desperate to make amends following their last-gasp defeat at Norwich, and we feel that the hosts will record a narrow success at The Hawthorns. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw has a probability of 25.2% and a win for Sunderland has a probability of 23.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Sunderland win it is 0-1 (7.56%).

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSunderland
51.63% (0.998 1) 25.2% (-0.414 -0.41) 23.16% (-0.578 -0.58)
Both teams to score 49.3% (0.575 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.92% (1.077 1.08)53.08% (-1.071 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.34% (0.908 0.91)74.66% (-0.902 -0.9)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.44% (0.857 0.86)20.56% (-0.85 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.91% (1.332 1.33)53.09% (-1.327 -1.33)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.07% (0.060000000000002 0.06)37.94% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.3% (0.056000000000001 0.06)74.71% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 51.63%
    Sunderland 23.16%
    Draw 25.2%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 12.33% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-0 @ 9.76% (0.097 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 5.14% (0.181 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.183 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.093 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.03% (0.122 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.121 0.12)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 51.63%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 7.8% (-0.334 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.56% (-0.313 -0.31)
1-2 @ 5.8% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 23.16%

How you voted: West Brom vs Sunderland

West Bromwich Albion
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Sunderland
25.0%
24
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2024 8pm
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
West Brom
0-1
Sunderland

Thomas-Asante (42'), Furlong (63'), Wallace (68'), Kipre (86')
Thomas-Asante (43')
Ekwah (45+2')
Hume (31'), Alese (80'), Styles (85')
Dec 9, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Sunderland
2-1
West Brom
Ballard (70'), Neill (84')
Ballard (34')
Thomas-Asante (86')
Sarmiento (51'), Molumby (54'), Chalobah (81'), Furlong (90+3'), Thomas-Asante (90'), Pipa (90+6')
Apr 23, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 44
West Brom
1-2
Sunderland
Swift (45+1' pen.)
Cirkin (51', 84')
Dec 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 22
Sunderland
1-2
West Brom
Diallo (19' pen.)
Rogic (70'), Dike (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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