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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
West Brom logo

Burnley
1 - 1
West Brom

Flemming (23')
Egan Riley (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Swift (20')
Price (38'), Lankshear (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 4-0 Luton
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 QPR
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-0 West Bromwich Albion

Burnley's exemplary home sequence compared to West Brom's horrendous streak of form on the road is chalk and cheese, and those respective records should be reflected in the final scoreline. Mowbray's 10 men displayed tremendous grit to prevail over the weekend, but Parker's defensive masters should keep the Baggies at arm's length and strike at least once as they maintain their top-two push. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a West Bromwich Albion win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
56.37% (1.026 1.03) 24.53% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 19.1% (-1.039 -1.04)
Both teams to score 45.82% (-1.582 -1.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.15% (-1.272 -1.27)54.85% (1.272 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.85% (-1.063 -1.06)76.15% (1.062 1.06)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.63% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)19.36% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.84% (-0.152 -0.15)51.16% (0.151 0.15)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.82% (-1.896 -1.9)43.17% (1.896 1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.56% (-1.634 -1.63)79.44% (1.634 1.63)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 56.36%
    West Bromwich Albion 19.1%
    Draw 24.52%
BurnleyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 13.72% (0.63 0.63)
2-0 @ 11.26% (0.48 0.48)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 6.17% (0.248 0.25)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.095 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 56.36%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.36% (0.405 0.4)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.247 -0.25)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 7.02% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.84% (-0.286 -0.29)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.165 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.36% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 19.1%

How you voted: Burnley vs West Brom

Burnley
70.9%
Draw
18.2%
West Bromwich Albion
10.9%
110
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 14
West Brom
0-0
Burnley
Maja (26'), Swift (57'), Molumby (89')
Cullen (30'), Roberts (40'), Koleosho (77')
Jan 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Burnley
2-1
West Brom
Tella (75'), Twine (87')
Furlong (7')
Sep 2, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 8
West Brom
1-1
Burnley
Thomas-Asante (90+8')
Button (29')
Rodriguez (30' pen.)
Cork (36'), Harwood-Bellis (50'), Roberts (71'), Taylor (80')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 25
Burnley
0-0
West Brom
Cork (76'), Mee (90+3'), Lowton (90+4')
Ajayi (30')
Oct 19, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
West Brom
0-0
Burnley
Livermore (53'), Phillips (90+2')
Taylor (37'), Westwood (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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