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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
West Brom logo

Burnley
1 - 1
West Brom

Flemming (23')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Swift (20')
Price (38'), Lankshear (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 QPR
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a West Bromwich Albion win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
56.37% (1.026 1.03)24.53% (0.009999999999998 0.01)19.1% (-1.039 -1.04)
Both teams to score 45.82% (-1.582 -1.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.15% (-1.272 -1.27)54.85% (1.272 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.85% (-1.063 -1.06)76.15% (1.062 1.06)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.63% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)19.36% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.84% (-0.152 -0.15)51.16% (0.151 0.15)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.82% (-1.896 -1.9)43.17% (1.896 1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.56% (-1.634 -1.63)79.44% (1.634 1.63)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 56.36%
    West Bromwich Albion 19.1%
    Draw 24.52%
BurnleyDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 13.72% (0.63 0.63)
2-0 @ 11.26% (0.48 0.48)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 6.17% (0.248 0.25)
3-1 @ 5.18% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.53% (0.095 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 56.36%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.36% (0.405 0.4)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.247 -0.25)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 7.02% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.84% (-0.286 -0.29)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.165 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.36% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.11% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 19.1%

How you voted: Burnley vs West Brom

Burnley
70.9%
Draw
18.2%
West Bromwich Albion
10.9%
110
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 14
West Brom
0-0
Burnley
Maja (26'), Swift (57'), Molumby (89')
Cullen (30'), Roberts (40'), Koleosho (77')
Jan 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Burnley
2-1
West Brom
Tella (75'), Twine (87')
Furlong (7')
Sep 2, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 8
West Brom
1-1
Burnley
Thomas-Asante (90+8')
Button (29')
Rodriguez (30' pen.)
Cork (36'), Harwood-Bellis (50'), Roberts (71'), Taylor (80')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 25
Burnley
0-0
West Brom
Cork (76'), Mee (90+3'), Lowton (90+4')
Ajayi (30')
Oct 19, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
West Brom
0-0
Burnley
Livermore (53'), Phillips (90+2')
Taylor (37'), Westwood (77')