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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
West Brom logo

Norwich
1 - 0
West Brom

Sargent (90+2')
Sargent (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Norwich
Friday, March 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 West Bromwich Albion

With only Leeds United boasting a better attacking record on home soil in the Championship, Norwich should be confident of putting a few strikes past a West Brom outfit who struggle away from The Hawthorns. Mowbray is still working out his strongest XI given the array of forward options at his disposal, with the visitors likely to suffer defeat this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
46.75% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 23.89%29.36% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 59.07% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.17% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)42.83% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.77% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)65.23% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.49% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.27% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)49.73% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)27.51% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.98% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)63.02% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 46.75%
    West Bromwich Albion 29.36%
    Draw 23.88%
Norwich CityDrawWest Bromwich Albion
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.22%
4-0 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 46.75%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 29.36%

How you voted: Norwich vs West Brom

Norwich City
61.5%
Draw
13.5%
West Bromwich Albion
25.0%
52
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
West Brom
2-2
Norwich
Holgate (11'), Maja (43')
Furlong (39')
Marcondes (20'), Heggem (41' og.)
Ben Slimane (51'), Fisher (66')
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Norwich
2-0
West Brom
Sargent (13'), Rowe (71')
Stacey (90')

Bartley (17'), Wallace (79')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
West Brom
1-0
Norwich

Sainz (30')
Sainz (33')
Apr 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 45
West Brom
2-1
Norwich
Townsend (45+1'), Wallace (56')
Sargent (41')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Norwich
1-1
West Brom
Byram (68')
O'Shea (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds452813493296497
2Burnley452716266155197
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd452871062352789
4Sunderland4521131158431576
5Bristol City451716125753467
6Coventry CityCoventry45199176258466
7Millwall451812154646066
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn45198185247565
9Middlesbrough4518101764541064
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom451419125244861
11Swansea CitySwansea45179194853-560
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds451512185968-957
13Watford45168215260-856
14Norwich CityNorwich451315176766154
15Queens Park RangersQPR451314185263-1153
16Portsmouth451411205770-1353
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451313194662-1652
18Stoke CityStoke451214194562-1750
19Derby CountyDerby451310224856-849
20Preston North EndPreston451019164657-1149
21Luton TownLuton451310224264-2249
22Hull City451212214353-1048
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451113215086-3646
24Cardiff CityCardiff45917194669-2344


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