Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 14, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
Lanus1 - 0Vasco
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Lanus and Vasco da Gama.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Lanus (4-2 pen.)
Sunday, May 11 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, May 11 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Vitoria 2-1 Vasco
Saturday, May 10 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, May 10 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
7
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lanus in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
42.54% ( 0) | 27.14% ( 0) | 30.32% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.12% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
