Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 1, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Germano Kruger

Operario PR1 - 1Vasco
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Operario Ferroviario and Vasco da Gama.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Operario PR 1-0 Tombense
Wednesday, March 12 at 10.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Wednesday, March 12 at 10.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-0 Vasco
Sunday, April 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
6
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Operario Ferroviario win with a probability of 36%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Operario Ferroviario win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (11.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Operario Ferroviario | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
36% (![]() | 28.62% | 35.39% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.97% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |