Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 14, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nacional de Lima
Cristal0 - 1Cerro Porteno
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Sporting Cristal and Cerro Porteno.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Cristal | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
49.99% ( -0.02) | 24.89% ( -0) | 25.12% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.29% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
