Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 8, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio Nacional de Lima
Cristal2 - 1Bolivar
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Sporting Cristal and Bolivar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 2-2 Cristal
Friday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Cristal in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Cristal | Draw | Bolivar |
48.79% ( -0.55) | 22.8% ( 0.12) | 28.41% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 62.28% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
