Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 67.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Leganes |
67.31% (![]() | 18.52% (![]() | 14.17% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.48% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.03% (![]() | 37.98% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.77% (![]() | 60.24% (![]() |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.61% (![]() | 10.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.08% (![]() | 33.92% (![]() |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.8% (![]() | 39.2% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.09% (![]() | 75.91% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Leganes |
2-0 @ 10.44% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.78% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.22% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.88% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.38% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.46% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.89% ( ![]() Other @ 4.65% Total : 67.31% | 1-1 @ 8.64% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.58% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.07% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.52% | 1-2 @ 4.04% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.82% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 1.83% Total : 14.17% |