La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 36

May 14, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal
3 - 0
Leganes

Perez (23', 31'), Pepe (45')
Pino (44')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Tapia (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Leganes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

Last Game: Girona 0-1 Villarreal
Saturday, May 10 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leganes

All competitions

Last Game: Leganes 3-2 Espanyol
Sunday, May 11 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 67.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 14.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Leganes
67.31% ( 0.27)	18.52% ( -0.08)	14.17% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 54.48% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.03% (

-0.01)

37.98% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.77% (

-0.01)

60.24% (

0.01)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.61% (

0.07)

10.39% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.08% (

0.15)

33.92% (

-0.14)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.8% (

-0.26)

39.2% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.09% (

-0.24)

75.91% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 67.31%

Leganes 14.17%

Draw 18.52%

Villarreal	Draw	Leganes
2-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.65% Total : 67.31%	1-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.07% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.52%	1-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.83% Total : 14.17%