Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 48.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 25.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 1-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Espanyol |
| 25.09% ( | 26.8% ( | 48.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.56% ( | 57.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.75% ( | 78.25% ( |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.41% ( | 38.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.67% ( | 75.33% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( | 23.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.84% ( | 58.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 2-1 @ 5.99% ( 2-0 @ 4.19% ( 3-1 @ 1.9% ( 3-2 @ 1.36% ( 3-0 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 1.54% Total : 25.09% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0-0 @ 9.24% ( 2-2 @ 4.28% ( Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 13.2% ( 0-2 @ 9.44% ( 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0-3 @ 4.5% ( 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0-4 @ 1.61% ( 1-4 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 48.1% |