MX23RW : Thursday, May 29 01:32:36| >> :120:3820:3820:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 14, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos

Universidad
4 - 0
Carabobo

Sepulveda (30'), Aranguiz (65' pen.), Zaldivia (81'), Poblete (90')
Zaldivia (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hernandez (13'), Congo (36'), Aponte (83')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Universidad de Chile and Carabobo.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Universidad 0-3 Estudiantes
Thursday, May 8 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Carabobo 1-2 Botafogo
Tuesday, May 6 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad de Chile win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Carabobo had a probability of 15.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad de Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.87%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Carabobo win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad de Chile would win this match.

Result
Universidad de ChileDrawCarabobo
59.66% (-0.362 -0.36) 24.43% (0.18 0.18) 15.91% (0.178 0.18)
Both teams to score 40.65% (-0.105 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.32% (-0.348 -0.35)58.68% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.78% (-0.271 -0.27)79.22% (0.26900000000001 0.27)
Universidad de Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.42% (-0.274 -0.27)19.58% (0.27 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.49% (-0.446 -0.45)51.51% (0.443 0.44)
Carabobo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.55% (0.039000000000001 0.04)49.45% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.73% (0.027000000000001 0.03)84.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Universidad de Chile 59.65%
    Carabobo 15.91%
    Draw 24.42%
Universidad de ChileDrawCarabobo
1-0 @ 15.78% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 12.87% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 59.65%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.68% (0.126 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 24.42%
0-1 @ 6.82% (0.095999999999999 0.1)
1-2 @ 3.92% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.4% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 15.91%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2025 12am
Group Stage
Carabobo
1-1
Universidad
Tortolero (21' pen.)
Aranguiz (42' pen.)
Calderon (21'), Zaldivia (25'), Marcelo Hormazabal Berrios (55'), Contreras (88')
rhs 2.0
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