Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad de Chile win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Carabobo had a probability of 15.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad de Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.87%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Carabobo win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad de Chile would win this match.