Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 43.91%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Carabobo had a probability of 26.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.13%) and 1-2 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Carabobo win it was 1-0 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.