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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 85.29%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 5.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 4-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.18%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (1.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heracles |
85.29% (![]() | 9.5% (![]() | 5.2% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.69% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
78.3% (![]() | 21.7% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
59.52% (![]() | 40.48% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.52% (![]() | 3.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
84.85% (![]() | 15.14% (![]() |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.59% (![]() | 45.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.74% (![]() | 81.26% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heracles |
3-0 @ 9.97% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.9% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 8.38% 3-1 @ 7.87% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 7.03% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.61% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 5.63% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 4.44% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 7-1 @ 1.2% ( ![]() 6-2 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 4.35% Total : 85.29% | 1-1 @ 4.18% (![]() 2-2 @ 2.77% 0-0 @ 1.58% ( ![]() Other @ 0.97% Total : 9.5% | 1-2 @ 1.65% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 2.3% Total : 5.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 |
2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 |
6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 |
9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 |
10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 |
12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 |
13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 |
16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 |
R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 |
R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 |
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