MX23RW : Monday, May 19 05:50:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 33
May 14, 2025 at 7pm UK
Philips Stadion
Heracles Almelo

PSV
4 - 1
Heracles

Tillman (18', 40'), Saibari (21', 35')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Engels (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 2-3 PSV
Sunday, May 11 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Willem II 1-2 Heracles
Friday, May 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 4-1 Heracles

With PSV riding a five-game win streak and still firmly in the title race, they are likely to come flying out of the blocks here against a Heracles side that struggles on the road and has not beaten them in nearly a decade. We fancy a commanding home victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 85.29%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 5.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 4-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.18%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (1.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawHeracles
85.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 9.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 5.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 52.69% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.3% (0.019000000000005 0.02)21.7% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.52% (0.024999999999999 0.02)40.48% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)3.47% (-0.004 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.85% (0.013999999999996 0.01)15.14% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.59% (0.012 0.01)45.41% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.74% (0.009999999999998 0.01)81.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 85.29%
    Heracles 5.2%
    Draw 9.5%
PSV EindhovenDrawHeracles
3-0 @ 9.97% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 8.9% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 8.38%
3-1 @ 7.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 7.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 6.61% (0.0020000000000007 0)
5-0 @ 5.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 5.3% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
5-1 @ 4.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
6-0 @ 3.15% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 2.49% (0.0029999999999997 0)
5-2 @ 1.75% (0.002 0)
7-0 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
7-1 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
6-2 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 85.29%
1-1 @ 4.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 2.77%
0-0 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 9.5%
1-2 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 5.2%

How you voted: PSV vs Heracles

PSV Eindhoven
83.3%
Draw
13.3%
Heracles
3.3%
30
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 2
Heracles
1-3
PSV
De Keersmaecker (5' pen.)
van de Looi (54'), Milani (87')
Mesik (52' og.), Bakayoko (59'), Driouech (90')
Feb 16, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 22
PSV
2-0
Heracles
De Jong (18'), Boscagli (56')

van de Looi (14'), Bruijn (17'), Hrustic (31'), Vejinovic (75')
Limbombe (13')
Jan 7, 2024 12pm
Club Friendlies
PSV
1-1
Heracles
Vertessen (19')
Hornkamp (67')
Nov 4, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 11
Heracles
0-6
PSV

Bakboord (26')
Hoogma (21')
De Jong (22' pen.), Schouten (44'), Tillman (64'), Ramalho (69'), Til (84'), Pepi (90')
Mar 6, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 23
PSV
3-1
Heracles
Veerman (20'), Zahavi (55'), Gakpo (71')
Max (86')
Armenteros (69')
Ouahim (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342545103396479
2Ajax34246467323578
3Feyenoord34208676383868
4FC UtrechtUtrecht341810662451764
5AZ AlkmaarAZ34169958372157
6FC Twente341591062491354
7Go Ahead Eagles34149115755251
8NECNijmegen34127155146543
9Heerenveen34127154257-1543
10PEC Zwolle341011134351-841
11Fortuna SittardSittard34118153754-1741
12Sparta RotterdamSparta34912133943-439
13Groningen34109154053-1339
14Heracles34911144263-2138
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3489173458-2433
16Willem II3468203456-2226
RRKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3467214474-3025
RAlmere CityAlmere City34410202364-4122


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