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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 79.12%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 8.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.39%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.7%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
8.1% (![]() | 12.77% (![]() | 79.12% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.94% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.1% (![]() | 26.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.63% (![]() | 47.36% (![]() |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.04% (![]() | 41.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.6% (![]() | 78.4% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.66% (![]() | 5.33% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
79.02% (![]() | 20.97% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 2.48% (![]() 1-0 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 2.63% Total : 8.1% | 1-1 @ 5.7% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 12.77% | 0-2 @ 9.62% (![]() 0-3 @ 9.39% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 8.35% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 8.16% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 6.88% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 6.56% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 4.03% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 5.31% Total : 79.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 74 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 96 | 37 | 59 | 73 |
3 | Feyenoord | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 65 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 62 |
5 | FC Twente | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 54 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 53 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 48 |
8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 40 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 |
10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
11 | Groningen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 38 |
12 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 37 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 32 |
16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 22 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 20 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |