

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 53.25%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 24.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven | 
| 24.6% (  0.13) | 22.14% (  0.04) | 53.25% (  -0.16) | 
| Both teams to score 60.95% (  0.02) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 61.54% (  -0.03) | 38.46% (  0.04) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 39.25% (  -0.04) | 60.75% (  0.04) | 
| Heracles Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.31% (  0.08) | 28.69% (  -0.08) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.49% (  0.1) | 64.51% (  -0.1) | 
| PSV Eindhoven Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.47% (  -0.06) | 14.53% (  0.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.44% (  -0.13) | 42.56% (  0.13) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Heracles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven | 
| 2-1 @ 6.27% (  0.03) 1-0 @ 5.2% (  0.02) 2-0 @ 3.25% (  0.02) 3-1 @ 2.61% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 2.52% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 1.35% (  0.01) Other @ 3.4% Total : 24.6% | 1-1 @ 10.04% (  0.02) 2-2 @ 6.05% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 4.17% (  0.01) 3-3 @ 1.62% (  0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 9.68% (  -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.04% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.75% (  -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.23% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.99% (  -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.89% (  -0) 1-4 @ 3% (  -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.41% (  -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.88% (  -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.16% (  -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.93% (  -0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 53.25% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 74 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 96 | 37 | 59 | 73 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 65 | 
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 62 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 54 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 53 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 48 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 40 | 
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 | 
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 | 
| 11 | Groningen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 38 | 
| 12 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 | 
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 37 | 
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 | 
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 32 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 | 
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 22 | 
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 20 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
