
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 58.83%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 20.9% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.87%) and 0-1 (7.25%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-4 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 20.9% ( | 20.27% ( | 58.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.01% ( | 33.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.14% ( | 55.86% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.73% ( | 29.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.77% ( | 65.23% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.59% ( | 11.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.82% ( | 36.18% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 5.47% ( 1-0 @ 4.1% ( 2-0 @ 2.52% ( 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 3-1 @ 2.24% ( 3-0 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 20.9% | 1-1 @ 8.91% ( 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 3.34% ( 3-3 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.27% | 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0-2 @ 7.87% ( 0-1 @ 7.25% ( 1-3 @ 6.99% ( 0-3 @ 5.69% ( 2-3 @ 4.3% ( 1-4 @ 3.8% ( 0-4 @ 3.09% ( 2-4 @ 2.33% ( 1-5 @ 1.65% ( 0-5 @ 1.34% ( 2-5 @ 1.01% ( 3-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 58.83% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 70 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 86 | 33 | 53 | 64 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 64 | 32 | 32 | 59 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 53 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 46 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 34 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 |
| 12 | Heracles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Groningen | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 |
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 31 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 30 |
| 16 | Willem II | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 19 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 57 | -37 | 19 |
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