MX23RW : Sunday, April 20 05:58:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Apr 12, 2025 at 12.45pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
2 - 3
Aberystwyth

Sharp (37'), Oswell (53')
Evans (56'), Smith (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Flint (45+1', 79'), Peter Jayden Diboe (82')
(83')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barry 2-1 Newtown
Friday, March 28 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 1-2 Flint Town
Friday, March 28 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 54.36%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 22.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
54.36% (-0.77 -0.77) 22.79% (0.292 0.29) 22.86% (0.482 0.48)
Both teams to score 56.53% (-0.343 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.67% (-0.756 -0.76)43.33% (0.76 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.28% (-0.749 -0.75)65.72% (0.752 0.75)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.13% (-0.52500000000001 -0.53)15.87% (0.53 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.92% (-0.98 -0.98)45.08% (0.984 0.98)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.19% (0.015000000000001 0.02)32.81% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.63% (0.016000000000002 0.02)69.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 54.36%
    Aberystwyth Town 22.86%
    Draw 22.79%
Newtown AFCDrawAberystwyth Town
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.146 0.15)
2-0 @ 8.82% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.03% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-0 @ 5.41% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.78% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 54.36%
1-1 @ 10.68% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.172 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.79%
1-2 @ 5.95% (0.094 0.09)
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.193 0.19)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.109 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 22.86%

Head to Head
Feb 22, 2025 12.15pm
Gameweek 4
Aberystwyth
0-1
Newtown

Flint (37'), Thorn (45+2'), Evans (78'), Davies (83')
Thorn (80')
Oswell (75')
Oswell (7')
Nov 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Aberystwyth
3-1
Newtown
Flint (13'), Patterson (29'), Evans (83')
Flint (72'), Bradford (76')
Lock (66')
Roberts (52'), Williams (71'), Oswell (78')
Aug 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Newtown
4-1
Aberystwyth
Oswell (50', 70'), Roberts (68'), Lock (77')
Roberts (25'), Lock (51')
Evans (45+2')
Evans (40'), Lewis (40')
Nov 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Aberystwyth
0-1
Newtown

Davies (67')
Jones (80')
Wycherley (77')
Aug 26, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 3
Newtown
0-0
Aberystwyth
Ismail (33'), Sears (83'), Evans (90+3')
Walsh (90+3'), Walsh (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints32260689315878
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont32197656322464
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest321312739261351
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon32146125351248
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU32128124346-344
6Bala TownBala Town32813113843-537
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry32157105551452
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay321261447351242
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town32133164862-1442
4Briton Ferry3295184665-1932
5Newtown AFCNewtown3268183665-2926
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth3263232871-4321
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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