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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Jenner Park

Barry
2 - 1
Aberystwyth

Gwyn Owen (7'), Richards (90')
Richards (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Patterson (88')
Sharif (18'), Flint (44'), Davies (45'), Patterson (49')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barry Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Briton Ferry 3-4 Barry
Friday, March 7 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 3-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, March 7 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 17.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawAberystwyth Town
60.5% (0.259 0.26) 21.98% (-0.061 -0.06) 17.52% (-0.195 -0.2)
Both teams to score 50.57% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)47.04% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)69.28% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.9% (0.067999999999998 0.07)15.1% (-0.066999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.36% (0.127 0.13)43.64% (-0.125 -0.13)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.57% (-0.259 -0.26)40.43% (0.262 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.95% (-0.236 -0.24)77.05% (0.238 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 60.5%
    Aberystwyth Town 17.52%
    Draw 21.98%
Barry Town UnitedDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 11.54% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 10.91% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 6.88% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.25% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.94% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 60.5%
1-1 @ 10.45% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.11% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 21.98%
0-1 @ 5.53% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.5% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 17.52%

Head to Head
Jan 24, 2025 8pm
Gameweek 1
Aberystwyth
1-2
Barry
Thorn (84')
Scotcher (40'), Davies (57'), (77')
Hulbert (49'), Patten (71')
Hulbert (36'), McLaggon (42'), Richards (88')
Sep 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Barry
1-0
Aberystwyth
Hulbert (84')
Aug 23, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 3
Aberystwyth
1-0
Barry
Evans (33')
Lewis (45+1'), Owen (50'), Flint (86')

Schwank (90+6')
Apr 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Barry
2-1
Aberystwyth
Snaith (11'), Hulbert (83')
McDonald (61')
Kirkman (63')
Davies (30'), Hinds (37')
Mar 2, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Aberystwyth
1-1
Barry
Woollam (11')
Lewis (87'), Canavan (90'), Thorn (90')
Patten (20' pen.)
Patten (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints32260689315878
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont32197656322464
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest321312739261351
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon32146125351248
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU32128124346-344
6Bala TownBala Town32813113843-537
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry32157105551452
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay321261447351242
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town32133164862-1442
4Briton Ferry3295184665-1932
5Newtown AFCNewtown3268183665-2926
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth3263232871-4321
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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