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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Feb 22, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Jenner Park

Barry
0 - 2
Connah's Quay


Kavanagh (30'), Willmott (82'), Hulbert (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Edwards (44'), Durrant (90+1')
Roberts (46'), Nash (61'), Owens (77'), Edwards (88')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barry Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 1-1 Barry
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-1 Briton Ferry
Saturday, February 8 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 2-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
22.75% (0.069000000000003 0.07) 22.8% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 54.44% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 56.35% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.49% (0.028999999999996 0.03)43.51% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.1% (0.029000000000003 0.03)65.9% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (0.076999999999998 0.08)33% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42% (0.082000000000001 0.08)69.58% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.1% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)15.9% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.86% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)45.14% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 22.75%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 54.44%
    Draw 22.8%
Barry Town UnitedDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 5.93% (0.014 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 3.23% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.19% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 22.75%
1-1 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.8%
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
0-1 @ 9.65% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.87% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.03% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.44% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.34% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.77% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 2.5% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 54.44%

Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Barry
3-2
Connah's Quay
McLaggon (23'), Gwyn Owen (74', 88')
Kavanagh (84')
Hughes (58', 85')
Hughes (57'), Edwards (90+6')
Sep 7, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Connah's Quay
1-2
Barry
Kenny (40')
Marriott (37')
Hulbert (54', 89')
Press (43'), Patten (61'), Bright (82'), Margetson (83')
Dec 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Connah's Quay
7-0
Barry
Sainty (14' og.), Kenny (21', 52' og.), Franklin (62'), Harrington (65'), Davies (80'), Wilde (86')
Nash (44')

Sylvester (88')
Sep 9, 2023 2.45pm
Gameweek 6
Barry
1-4
Connah's Quay
Hulbert (22')
Tomlinson (62'), Cotterill (90'), Veale (90')
Davies (40', 66'), Kenny (44'), Disney (85')
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Connah's Quay
2-0
Barry
Owens (36'), Harrison (54')
Disney (8')

McLaggon (26'), Kavanagh (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints32260689315878
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont32197656322464
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest321312739261351
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon32146125351248
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU32128124346-344
6Bala TownBala Town32813113843-537
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry32157105551452
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay321261447351242
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town32133164862-1442
4Briton Ferry3295184665-1932
5Newtown AFCNewtown3268183665-2926
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth3263232871-4321
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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