Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.