Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 75.73%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 9.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 1-2 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.