

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 44.08% ( | 24.82% ( | 31.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.83% ( | 46.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.53% ( | 68.47% ( |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79% ( | 21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.22% ( | 53.78% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.98% ( | 28.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.33% ( | 63.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 2-0 @ 7.17% ( 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.64% Total : 44.08% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 5.89% 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 1-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 39 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 83 |
| 2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 39 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 78 | 27 | 51 | 81 |
| 3 | Burnley | 39 | 22 | 15 | 2 | 53 | 11 | 42 | 81 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 39 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 56 | 37 | 19 | 72 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 39 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 59 |
| 6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 39 | 13 | 18 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 57 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 57 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 57 |
| 9 | Watford | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 61 | 54 | 7 | 52 |
| 11 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 52 |
| 12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 52 |
| 13 | Millwall | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 51 |
| 14 | Preston North EndPreston | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 47 |
| 15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 45 |
| 16 | Swansea CitySwansea | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 45 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 |
| 18 | Stoke CityStoke | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 42 |
| 19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 39 | 10 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 42 |
| 20 | Hull City | 39 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 41 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 40 |
| 22 | Derby CountyDerby | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 38 |
| 23 | Luton TownLuton | 39 | 10 | 8 | 21 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 38 |
| 24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 39 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 34 |
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