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Women's Super League | Gameweek 18
Mar 30, 2025 at 2pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground

Crystal Palace
0 - 4
Arsenal

FT(HT: 0-2)
Mead (14', 90+1'), Russo (26'), Swaby (77' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Crystal Palace Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 3-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, March 22 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-0 Real Madrid
Wednesday, March 26 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Crystal Palace Women 0-3 Arsenal Women

Arsenal will carry significant momentum into Sunday's fixture after staging a stunning turnaround in their UWCL tie against Real Madrid, and we think that they will produce another dominant display to claim a comfortable victory over the relegation-threatened Palace. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 74.36%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Crystal Palace Women had a probability of 10.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.24%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Crystal Palace Women win it was 2-1 (3.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Crystal Palace WomenDrawArsenal Women
10.19% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 15.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 74.36% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.92% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)33.62% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)55.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Crystal Palace Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.31% (0.027000000000001 0.03)42.68% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.98% (0.024999999999999 0.02)79.02% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.32% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)7.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.62% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)27.38% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace Women 10.19%
    Arsenal Women 74.36%
    Draw 15.44%
Crystal Palace WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 3.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 2.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 10.19%
1-1 @ 7.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.91% (0.004 0)
0-0 @ 3.28% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 15.44%
0-2 @ 10.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 9.24% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.19% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 8.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 5.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 5.05%
2-3 @ 3.35% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-5 @ 3.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 2.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 2.15% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-6 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
1-6 @ 1.11%
2-5 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 74.36%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Arsenal

Crystal Palace Women
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Arsenal Women
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2025 2pm
Gameweek 11
Arsenal
5-0
Crystal Palace
Williamson (6'), Russo (63'), Mead (67'), Caldentey (75' pen., 90+5')

Potter (84'), Nolan (90+4'), Nolan (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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