MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 08:51:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
Women's Super League | Gameweek 16
Mar 14, 2025 at 7pm UK
The Marine Travel Arena

Everton
1 - 3
Arsenal

Oyedupe Payne (36')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Russo (24', 90'), Naevdal Mjelde (63' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Women's Super League clash between Everton Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 0-2 Everton
Sunday, March 2 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal 4-3 West Ham
Sunday, March 2 at 5.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Everton Women 1-2 Arsenal Women

Everton could provide Arsenal with a stern test in Friday's fixture, especially as they have dropped just two points in their last four home league games. With that said, we still believe that the Gunners will showcase their extra quality to claim a narrow win against the Toffees. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 82.05%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Everton Women had a probability of 5.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.96%) and 0-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for a Everton Women win it was 1-0 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Everton WomenDrawArsenal Women
5.79% (0.0641 0.06) 12.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 82.05% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 43.19% (0.293 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.79% (0.145 0.14)34.21% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.89% (0.161 0.16)56.1% (-0.164 -0.16)
Everton Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.08% (0.309 0.31)53.92% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.77% (0.188 0.19)87.22% (-0.191 -0.19)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)6.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.38% (0.029000000000011 0.03)23.62% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Everton Women 5.79%
    Arsenal Women 82.04%
    Draw 12.15%
Everton WomenDrawArsenal Women
1-0 @ 2.09% (0.004 0)
2-1 @ 1.79% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 5.79%
1-1 @ 5.78% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.38% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 2.47% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 12.15%
0-2 @ 12.96% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
0-3 @ 11.96% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-4 @ 8.29% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.01% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 7.39% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 5.12% (0.023 0.02)
0-5 @ 4.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.84% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.029 0.03)
0-6 @ 2.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.58% (0.021 0.02)
1-6 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 82.04%

How you voted: Everton vs Arsenal

Everton Women
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Arsenal Women
100%
12
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 3
Arsenal
0-0
Everton
Payne (90+4'), Brosnan (90+4')
Apr 28, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Everton
1-1
Arsenal
Hobson (90+5')
Snoeijs (90+8')
Russo (80')
Jan 20, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 11
Arsenal Women
2-1
Everton Ladies
Foord (9'), Mead (45+3')
Eidevall (46'), Walti (90+2')
Snoeijs (24')
Galli (45+5'), Bennison (80'), Campbell (90+1')
May 17, 2023 6.15pm
Gameweek 19
Everton Ladies
1-4
Arsenal Women
Snoeijs (86')
Holmgaard (10')
Beever-Jones (49')
Foord (29', 39'), McCabe (33'), Wubben-Moy (42')
Dec 3, 2022 2pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS


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