Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.