Barcelona

4 - 1

Girona

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 77.54%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Girona had a probability of 8.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.36%), while for a Girona win it was 1-2 (2.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.