Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Barcelona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.
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