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Champions League

Benfica
Champions League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 18, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Monaco

Benfica
3 - 3
Monaco

Akturkoglu (22'), Pavlidis (76' pen.), Kokcu (84')
Barreiro (67'), Amdouni (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Minamino (32'), Ben Seghir (51'), Ilenikhena (81')
Akliouche (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-1 Benfica
Saturday, February 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Monaco

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Monaco 7-1 Nantes
Saturday, February 15 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 57.58%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 21.98% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
BenficaDrawMonaco
57.58% (3.587 3.59)20.44% (-1.256 -1.26)21.98% (-2.325 -2.33)
Both teams to score 63.76% (1.534 1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.71% (3.342 3.34)33.29% (-3.336 -3.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.94% (3.73 3.73)55.06% (-3.725 -3.73)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.47% (2.14 2.14)11.53% (-2.133 -2.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.56% (4.428 4.43)36.44% (-4.423 -4.42)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.07% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)27.93% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.44% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)63.56% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 57.58%
    Monaco 21.98%
    Draw 20.44%
BenficaDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.96% (-0.637 -0.64)
3-1 @ 6.9% (0.504 0.5)
3-0 @ 5.41% (0.397 0.4)
3-2 @ 4.4% (0.32 0.32)
4-1 @ 3.73% (0.544 0.54)
4-0 @ 2.92% (0.427 0.43)
4-2 @ 2.38% (0.347 0.35)
5-1 @ 1.61% (0.343 0.34)
5-0 @ 1.26% (0.27 0.27)
5-2 @ 1.03% (0.219 0.22)
4-3 @ 1.01% (0.148 0.15)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 57.58%
1-1 @ 8.87% (-0.815 -0.82)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.22% (-0.595 -0.6)
3-3 @ 1.87% (0.136 0.14)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 20.44%
1-2 @ 5.66% (-0.522 -0.52)
0-1 @ 4.11% (-0.76 -0.76)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.486 -0.49)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.223 -0.22)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.207 -0.21)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 21.98%

How you voted: Benfica vs Monaco

Benfica
74.1%
Draw
20.9%
Monaco
5.1%
158
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2025 8pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 1st Leg
Monaco
0-1
Benfica

Elmusrati (41'), Vanderson (79'), Zakaria (90')
Elmusrati (52')
Pavlidis (48')
Fernandez (16'), Luis (56')
> Preview
Nov 27, 2024 8pm
League Stage
Monaco
2-3
Benfica
Ben Seghir (13'), Magassa (67')
Zakaria (41'), Kehrer (41'), Singo (42'), Mawissa (79')
Singo (58')
Pavlidis (48'), Cabral (84'), Amdouni (88')
Luis (5'), Fernandez (29'), Akturkoglu (42')
> Preview
Nov 4, 2014 7.45pm
Group Stage
Benfica
1-0
Monaco
> Match Report
Oct 22, 2014 7.45pm
Group Stage
Monaco
0-0
Benfica
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
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