Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19

Jan 25, 2025 at 4pm UK

Stade Louis II.

Monaco
3 - 2
Rennes

Akliouche (15'), Biereth (52'), Golovin (56')
Mawissa (63'), Minamino (73'), Akliouche (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Nagida (45+1'), Gouiri (67')
Wooh (71'), Gouiri (75'), Hateboer (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Monaco 1-0 Aston Villa
Tuesday, January 21 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Brest
Saturday, January 18 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Rennes
38.63% ( -0.15)	24.63% ( 0)	36.74% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 59.09% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.06% (

-0.01)

43.94% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.68% (

-0.01)

66.32% (

0.01)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.36% (

-0.08)

22.64% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.73% (

-0.12)

56.27% (

0.12)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.38% (

0.07)

23.62% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.29% (

0.1)

57.71% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Monaco 38.63%

Rennes 36.74%

Draw 24.63%

Monaco	Draw	Rennes
2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.63%	1-1 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.63%	1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 36.74%